Is grand plan to kill OKA just like Nasa in offing?


One Kenya Alliance principals from left ANC party leader Musalia Mudavadi, Kanu Chairman Gideon Moi, Ford Kenya Leader Moses Wetangula and Wiper Party Leader Kalonzo Musyoka during a consultative meeting at Karen in Nairobi on April 20, 2021. [Courtesy]
Joseph Mutua Ndonga
mutuandonga@yahoo.com

Worth Noting:

  • He will remove the claws and start roaring like lion and so anyone, who dares to question him, would always find himself in big trouble. The illiberal, undemocratic and dictatorial tendencies were the hallmarks of the KANU government that moulded Ruto and thrust him into the world of politics where he becomes a key player.
  • Well, the DP has lately been dining and winning with Uganda President Yoweri Museveni, who is widely viewed to be a brutal dictator. The media had also reported about his two trips to Sudan when he was hosted by former top state officials, who served in President Hassan Bashir’s government, before he was overthrown. This explains why the thought of DP winning is scary.

Kitui Governor Charity Ngilu and Cotu boss Francis Atwoli have been in for front of calling on the Nasa and OKA leaders to unite and form a formidable political force. This unity of purpose will help them to puncture the tag fronted by their perceived main competitor, Deputy President [DP] William Ruto, branding them as tribal and regional chiefs.

For the DP, this was just a change of tack after it dawned on him that these leaders did not believe in him and were out to scuttle his bid. The ‘Handshake’ between President Uhuru Kenyatta and ODM leader Raila Odinga is the stick that broke the camel’s back.

After the 2017 polls, the country was going in the wrong direction and Uhuru did not want it to slide back to where it was during the 2007/2008 post-election violence. That is why he signed a peace deal with his main competitor and repeatedly stated had nothing to do with his succession and 9-point of our shared objectives would attest to this.

So, if I was Ruto, I would not have openly faulted him and allow his allies to embarrass and treat him in utter disrespectful manner. Perhaps this is one of the reasons that made Uhuru to change him on his candidature.

Soon after, the DP jumped to Plan B and conceptualized it through the unveiling of ‘hustler nation’ Vs ‘dynasties’ narrative which informed the birth of the United Democratic Alliance [UDA] party whose symbol is a ‘wheelbarrow’.

A few days ago, the DP’s think tank coined the latest slogan of ‘bottom-up’ economic model and, surprisingly, it seemed Ruto’s diehard foot soldiers did not understand its meaning.

In an interview on Citizen TV, Kandara MP Alice Wahome, who is a lawyer, defined it as ‘bottom-down’ model.

Given this background, one can be forgiven for concluding. These flowery concepts were sugar coated strategy designed to lure Kenyans to vote for him. Once he ascends to power, he will make a U-turn and disown the pledges.

He will remove the claws and start roaring like lion and so anyone, who dares to question him, would always find himself in big trouble. The illiberal, undemocratic and dictatorial tendencies were the hallmarks of the KANU government that molded Ruto and thrust him into the world of politics where he becomes a key player.

Well, the DP has lately been dining and winning with Uganda President Yoweri Museveni, who is widely viewed to be a brutal dictator. The media had also reported about his two trips to Sudan when he was hosted by former top state officials, who served in President Hassan Bashir’s government, before he was overthrown. This explains why the thought of DP winning is scary.

At this juncture, I tend to believe these are some of the reasons why ODM and OKA leaders are opposed to Ruto presidency. To succeed in this, I would then expect them to take seriously the advice of Ngilu and Atwoli.

They should swallow their personal pride, egos and focus on the bigger picture of furthering the course of public interest. In my view, the decision to fold Nasa and OKA coalition is well-intentioned. The endgame is to form a brand new Super Alliance with a different name, symbol and colours.

The new coalition will win in the first round if it fronts a single candidate. But if they get divided and field two candidates, this means it will be a three-horse race. There will be no winner. Article 138 [4] [a] and [b] of the Constitution states that the winner should garner more than 50+1 per cent of the votes cast nationally. This is in addition to at least 25 per cent of votes in each of the more than half of the counties.

In a run-off, the two leading contenders will face each other at the ballot. It will be a do-or-die contest. All the eyes would be trained on the candidate trailing them in third position. The candidate he will direct his supporters to vote for will win.

Joseph Mutua Ndonga is a Political Analyst and Blogger

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